Electric vehicle battery packs generate complex thermal and electrical patterns during operation, with internal cell temperatures ranging from 20-45°C under normal conditions and voltage variations of 2.5-4.2V per cell. When these parameters deviate from expected ranges, early intervention becomes critical—thermal runaway can raise cell temperatures above 150°C within minutes, releasing gases and triggering chain reactions across neighboring cells.

The fundamental challenge lies in processing vast streams of sensor data to identify precursor patterns of thermal instability while maintaining an acceptable false-positive rate that won't unnecessarily disable cells or impact vehicle operation.

This page brings together solutions from recent research—including graph neural networks for cell-to-cell interaction modeling, convolutional networks for temporal pattern recognition in charging data, and adaptive fault detection systems that learn from field data. These and other approaches demonstrate how machine learning can enable real-time prediction and prevention of thermal events in production vehicles.

1. Enhanced Gas-Sensing Properties of Platinum-Doped InSe Monolayers for Lithium-Ion Battery Emission Monitoring: A Comprehensive DFT Analysis

xiaoqian lin, xin zhang, yeyan qin - American Chemical Society, 2025

Thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries generates toxic and flammable gases such as CO, C2H2, C2H4, presenting severe safety risks. Early detection of these is essential for battery monitoring. In this study, the gas sensing performances pristine Pt-doped indium selenide (InSe) monolayers toward C2H4 were investigated using first-principles density functional theory (DFT). The adsorption energies, charge transfer, electronic structure changes systematically analyzed to evaluate sensitivity. Results indicate that InSe exhibits weak interaction with all target gases. However, Pt doping significantly enhances increased energies substantial transfer. dopant also modulates InSe, which favorable signal transduction. These findings demonstrate possess excellent selectivity sensitivity critical warning from thermal runaway, offering theoretical guidance design high-performance 2D material-based sensors.

2. Real-Time Temperature Anomaly Detection Using Synthesized Feature Model with Ambient Temperature Adaptation

YOKOGAWA ELECTRIC CORP, 2025

Detecting abnormal temperatures in real-time with high accuracy, even when there is a change in ambient temperature. The method involves calculating temperature features, synthesizing them with past normal/abnormal indicators, training a model on the synthesized data, and using the model to determine if new temperature data is normal or abnormal. This allows accurate detection of abnormal temperatures even when ambient temperature changes, as the synthesis captures the difference between normal and abnormal temperature trends.

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3. Battery Cell Thermal Propagation Prediction Model for Risk Assessment

CATERPILLAR INC, 2025

Predicting thermal propagation between battery cells to prevent thermal runaway events. A thermal model is used to determine the likelihood of thermal propagation between cells based on their temperatures. The model is received by the battery management system and applied to the temperatures of specific cells to calculate the risk of thermal propagation between them. This helps prevent chain reactions that can lead to runaway conditions.

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4. Battery Pack Thermal Runaway Prediction Model Utilizing Structural, Electrochemical, and Interaction Simulations

CATERPILLAR INC, 2025

Predicting thermal runaway events in battery packs to provide earlier warning and enable mitigation before catastrophic failure. The prediction is based on a thermal runaway model that takes attributes of the battery cells as input. The model simulates structural deformation, electrochemical behavior, and module-level interactions to predict if a cell will undergo thermal runaway. By feeding real-time cell data into the model, it can alert when conditions are trending towards runaway, giving time to intervene and potentially prevent the event.

5. A Layered Swarm Optimization Method for Fitting Battery Thermal Runaway Models to Accelerating Rate Calorimetry Data

saakaar bhatnagar, andrew comerford, zelu xu - Institute of Physics, 2025

Abstract Thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries is a critical safety concern for the battery industry due to its potential cause uncontrolled temperature rises and subsequent fires that can engulf pack surroundings. Modeling simulation offer cost-effective tools designing strategies mitigate thermal runaway. Accurately simulating chemical kinetics of runaway, commonly represented by systems Arrhenius-based Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs), requires fitting kinetic parameters experimental calorimetry data, such as Accelerating Rate Calorimetry (ARC) measurements. Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) offers promising approach directly data. Yet, created multiple Arrhenius ODEs, computational cost using brute-force searches entire parameter space simultaneously become prohibitive. This work introduces divide-and-conquer based on PSO fit N-equation ODE models ARC The proposed method achieves more accurate compared while maintaining low costs. analyzed two distinct datasets, resulting are further validated through simulations 3D oven tests, showing excellent agreement with data align... Read More

6. A Comparative Analysis of Thermal Runaway Predictions Across Lithium-Ion Battery Chemistries Used in Electric Vehicles

abhishek verma, ajay kumar pathania - International Journal for Multidisciplinary Research (IJFMR), 2025

Thermal runaway remains a critical safety challenge for lithium-ion batteries (LiBs) used in electric vehicles (EVs), with varying characteristics across different chemistries. This study presents comparative analysis of thermal predictions five widely LiB chemistries: Nickel Manganese Cobalt (NMC), Aluminum (NCA), Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP), Oxide (LMO), and Titanate (LTO). A hybrid methodology combining controlled experimental abuse tests advanced physics-based machine learning models was employed to predict onset temperatures propagation behavior. Results reveal significant differences stability prediction accuracy among chemistries, LFP LTO exhibiting higher more reliable model predictions, whereas NMC NCA showed earlier rapid temperature escalation. These findings have direct implications battery management system (BMS) design protocols EVs, emphasizing chemistry-specific thresholds response strategies.

7. Early warning of thermal runaway based on state of safety for lithium-ion batteries

xin gu, yunlong shang, jinglun li - Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2025

Ensuring the safety of lithium-ion power batteries is primary prerequisite for developing electric vehicles and energy storage systems. The conventional method relies on temperature parameters only qualitatively assesses state (SOS), which reduces warning time battery management system (BMS). Here we present a thermal runaway based SOS. Specifically, analyze strain evolution trend under different abuse conditions propose trigger point runaway. Furthermore, multidimensional such as rise, median voltage, capacity, power, are used to quantify SOS parameter, with its value ranging from 0% 100%. Experimental results demonstrate that presented approach can warn around 5 h in advance.

8. System for Automated Generation of Context-Aware Machine Learning Models with Feedback-Driven Anomaly Detection

VERIZON PATENT AND LICENSING INC, 2025

Automatically generating context-aware machine learning models for anomaly detection using feedback from model outputs. The technique involves generating multiple machine learning models using different field combinations from the input data. This provides context-awareness as the models analyze the data from multiple perspectives. Feedback from model outputs over time is analyzed to improve the models. This closed-loop process continuously enhances model quality and reduces false positives.

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9. Multioutput Convolutional Neural Network for Improved Parameter Extraction in Time-Resolved Electrostatic Force Microscopy Data

madeleine breshears, rajiv giridharagopal, david s ginger - American Chemical Society, 2025

Time-resolved scanning probe microscopy methods, like time-resolved electrostatic force (trEFM), enable imaging of dynamic processes ranging from ion motion in batteries to electronic dynamics microstructured thin film semiconductors for solar cells. Reconstructing the underlying physical these techniques can be challenging due interplay cantilever physics with actual transient kinetics interest resulting signal. Previously, quantitative trEFM used empirical calibration or feed-forward neural networks trained on simulated data extract interest. Both approaches are limited by interpreting signal as a single exponential function, which serves an approximation but does not adequately reflect many realistic systems. Here, we present multibranched, multioutput convolutional network (CNN) that uses addition parameters input. The CNN accurately extracts describing both single-exponential and biexponential functions more reconstructs real experimental presence noise. This work demonstrates application physics-informed machine learning complex processing tasks, enabling efficient accurate ana... Read More

10. Battery Module Cell Monitoring with Statistical Analysis of Capacity Deviation Over Time

SAMSUNG SDI CO LTD, 2025

Early detection of abnormally deteriorated cells in battery modules to prevent safety issues like thermal runaway or ignition. The method involves monitoring capacity deviations of multiple cells over time. It calculates statistical values representing the capacity variations at two different time points. By comparing these values, it can detect cells that have significantly deteriorated compared to the others, indicating an abnormality.

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11. Experimental and Simulation-Based Study on Thermal Runaway Characteristics of 18650 Lithium-Ion Batteries and Thermal Propagation Patterns in Battery Packs

yao yao, peng xu, lei gao - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, 2025

The thermal runaway of lithium-ion batteries is a critical factor influencing their safety. Investigating the characteristics essential for battery safety design. In this study, 18650 under different SOCs were systematically analyzed by experiment and simulation. It was found that at high SOC (100%), highly lithium state accelerated lattice oxygen release, promoted formation LiNiO intensified electrolytic liquid oxygenation combustion, while low (20%), reduction environment dominated, metal Ni residual graphite significantly enriched. Gas analysis shows CO2 H2 account more than 80%, proportion regulated SOC. Temperature pressure monitoring showed increase in increased peak temperature (100% up to 508.4 C) (0.531 MPa).The simulation results show when pack out control, ejection fire explosion wave are concentrated middle upper region (overpressure 0.8 MPa). This study reveals mechanism which affects path product gas generation regulating oxidation/reduction balance, lays theoretical foundation safe design quantitative evaluation runaway.

12. Long Short-Term Memory Networks for State of Charge and Average Temperature State Estimation of SPMeT Lithium–Ion Battery Model

b chevalier, junyao xie, stevan dubljevic - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, 2025

Lithiumion batteries are the dominant battery type for emerging technologies in efforts to slow climate change. Accurate and quick estimations of state charge (SOC) internal cell temperature vital battery-management systems enable effective operation portable electronics electric vehicles. Therefore, a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent-neural network is proposed which completes estimation SOC average (Tavg) lithiumion under varying current loads. The trained evaluated using data compiled from newly developed extended single-particle model coupled with thermal dynamic model. Results promising, root mean square values typically 2% 1.2 K Tavg, while maintaining training testing times. In addition, we examined comparison single-feature versus multi-feature network, as well two different approaches partitioning.

13. Numerical Studying on the Influence of State of Charge and Internal Heat Generation on Lithium Battery Thermal Runaway

fangchao kang, wendi zhang, xiaoqing lu - IOP Publishing, 2025

Abstract The widespread adoption of lithium batteries has raised concerns regarding safety due to the risk thermal runaway. mechanisms by which State Charge (SOC) and internal heat generation influence runaway in these remain unclear. In this study, we utilize a three-dimensional electrochemical-thermal coupled model investigate evolution with increasing temperature examining growth rate. Our findings indicate that: (1) both rate during initially increase before eventually decreasing; (2) an SOC leads reduction intercalation concentration at negative electrode, resulting decreased lower peak temperatures runaway; (3) significantly impacts critical time runaway, higher associated increased risk. These results provide theoretical support for optimizing battery preventing fires explosions.

14. Proactive Multisensory Solution for Mitigating Thermal Runaway Risks in Li-Ion Batteries

uladzimir fiadosenka, linxi dong, chenxi yue - Belarusian State University of Informatics and Radioelectronics, 2025

The paper presents the concept and modeling results of a multisensor system designed to prevent thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries. This is especially true for LCO, NMC NCO integrates three types sensors: capacitive pressure sensor, gas sensor based on metal oxide semiconductor, platinum temperature sensor. Moreover, all sensors are located single chip, which ensures increased reliability safety, minimizing risks fire, explosion, or damage Three battery operating modes proposed: normal, hazardous, critical. In normal mode, concentration remain at safe levels, while hazardous they begin increase, indicating possible onset destructive reactions. critical reaches can lead damage, explosion. was modeled using COMSOL Multiphysics 6.1 package finite element method. approach helps improve safety batteries by solving problems monitoring their condition. scalability makes it suitable applications both portable electronics electric vehicles.

15. 13D Modeling of Thermal Runaway in Pouch Cells: Effects of Surface Heating and Heating Rates

deivanayagam hariharan, santhosh gundlapally, 2025

<div class="section abstract"><div class="htmlview paragraph">Thermal runaway in battery cells presents a critical safety concern, emphasizing the need for thorough understanding of thermal behavior to enhance and performance. This study introduces newly developed AutoLion 3D model, which builds on earlier 1D framework offers significantly faster computational performance compared traditional CFD models. The model is validated through simulations heat-wait-search mode Accelerating Rate Calorimeter (ARC), accurately predicting by matching experimental temperature profiles from peer-reviewed studies. Once validated, employed investigate LFPO under controlled heating conditions, applying heat one or more surfaces at time while modeling transfer non-heated surfaces. primary objective understand how these localized patterns impact profiles, including average core temperatures surface each heated surface, examine evolution distributions over time. Additionally, explores effects varying rates using ARC assess different influence process. comprehensive approach aims provide valua... Read More

16. Experimental and Simulation-Based Characterization of Thermal Runaway in Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Altair SimLab®

luca giuliano, luigi scrimieri, simone reitano, 2025

<div class="section abstract"><div class="htmlview paragraph">Thermal runaway is a critical phenomenon in lithium batteries, characterized by self-sustaining process due to internal chemical reactions, that triggered once certain temperature reached within the cell. This event often caused overheating charge and discharge cycles can lead fires or explosions, posing significant safety threat. The aim of this study induce thermal on single cells different ways characterize validate simulation models present Altair SimLab.</div><div paragraph">The work was conducted several key phases. Initially, an experimental test performed calorimeter (EV ARC HWS test) collect data Molicel 21700 P45B cell during under adiabatic conditions. These were used for cell, allowing detailed comparison with results. Subsequently, operational conditions, overheated using heat pad powered at constant power (non-adiabatic conditions), monitoring through three thermocouples placed For scenario as well, replicating effect source surface.</div><div paragraph">This work, carrie... Read More

17. Battery Thermal Runaway Propagation: A CFD Approach to Cell and Module Analysis

anil wakale, ma shihu, xiao hu, 2025

<div class="section abstract"><div class="htmlview paragraph">This Paper will focus on simulating thermal runaway propagation within a battery cell and module. The model parameters are derived from accelerating rate calorimeter (ARC). simulation involves that converts the stored energy of materials into energy, thereby runaway. initiation is modelled through nail penetration event, represented by heat profile in region. resulting temperature rise this area triggers short model, leading to spread runaway.</div><div paragraph">For single-cell simulation, 1-equation used, focusing direct conversion cell. In contrast, module more complex scenario. Here, an initial near region activates which subsequently 4-equation abuse model. higher activation energies required initiate cascading effect, driving process throughout As increases further, internal intensifies, turn reactivates associated with compared those create effect accelerates process.</div><div paragraph">The results obtained both levels be validated against ARC data. A detailed discussion these ... Read More

18. A Fault Prediction Model for Electric Vehicle Charging Equipment Based on Adaptive Dynamic Thresholds

hao wang, ning wang, yuan li, 2025

<div class="section abstract"><div class="htmlview paragraph">The surge in electric vehicle usage has expanded the number of charging stations, intensifying demands on their operation and maintenance. Public often exposed to harsh weather unpredictable human factors, frequently encounter malfunctions requiring prompt attention. Current methods primarily employ data-driven approaches or rely empirical expertise establish warning thresholds for fault prediction. While these are generally effective, artificially fixed they prediction limit adaptability fall short sensitivity special scenarios, timings, locations, types faults, as well overall intelligence. This paper presents a novel model equipment that utilizes adaptive dynamic enhance diagnostic accuracy reliability. By integrating quantifying Environmental Influence Factors (EF), Scenario (SF), Fault Severity (FF), Charging Equipment Status (CF) into cohesive predictive framework, our dynamically adjusts based comprehensive analysis factors. Using dataset 560,000 records from Hangzhou, employs batch offline reinforcement... Read More

19. Numerical Model of the Heat-Wait and Seek and Heating Ramp Protocol for the Prediction of Thermal Runaway in Lithium-Ion Batteries

antonio gil, javier monsalveserrano, javier marcogimeno, 2025

<div class="section abstract"><div class="htmlview paragraph">Interest in Battery-Driven Electric Vehicles (EVs) has significantly grown recent years due to the decline of traditional Internal Combustion Engines (ICEs). However, malfunctions Lithium-Ion Batteries (LIBs) can lead catastrophic results such as Thermal Runaway (TR), posing serious safety concerns their high energy release and emission flammable gases. Understanding this phenomenon is essential for reducing risks mitigating its effects. In study, a digital twin an Accelerated Rate Calorimeter (ARC) under Heat-Wait-and-Seek (HWS) procedure developed using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) framework. The CFD model simulates heating cell during HWS procedure, pressure build-up within LIB, gas venting phenomena, exothermic processes LIB degradation internal components. validated against experimental NCA 18650 similar conditions, focusing on temperature domain pressure. effectively captures heat released by undergoing TR through convection radiation surrounding air while providing temporal spatial resolution compo... Read More

20. Acoustic Sensor-Based Detection System for Thermal Runaway in Electric Vehicle Batteries

VOLVO TRUCK CORPORATION, 2025

Early warning system to detect thermal runaway in electric vehicle batteries using acoustic sensors. The system monitors sound waves emitted from battery cells to predict thermal runaway before it escalates. Acoustic sensors detect low frequency infrasound generated by gas bubbles forming during early stages of thermal runaway. An algorithm analyzes the acoustic data to predict thermal runaway. This allows earlier intervention to prevent escalation compared to temperature sensors.

21. Battery Internal Temperature Estimation via Impedance Measurements Across Specific Frequency Bands Using a Learning Model

22. Battery Thermal Runaway Early Warning System with Multi-Model Fusion and Real-Time Monitoring

23. Multi-Stage Lithium Battery Thermal Runaway Prediction Using BiGRU Neural Network with Electrothermal Coupling

24. Battery Temperature Management Method with LSTM-Based Predictive Modeling

25. Battery Thermal Runaway Early Warning System Utilizing Electrochemical Mechanism Model with Real-Time Data Integration

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